OpenAI Will Target 975 Billion Dollar Valuation by September

A prediction market contract tracks whether OpenAI will hit a 975 billion dollar valuation by the end of September.

Updated on Sept. 24, 2026 in Artificial Intelligence

Bold flat-color editorial illustration depicting a single vault door slightly ajar, symbolizing the high-stakes valuation targets in financial prediction markets. — Traders on Polymarket currently assign a 63 percent probability that OpenAI will reach a 975 billion dollar valuation by September 30. AI Illustration. Upload story photo >

Live Poll

Will OpenAI reach a 975 billion dollar valuation on or before September 30?

Betting data from Polymarket assigns a 63 percent probability that OpenAI will reach a valuation of 975 billion dollars by September 30. This forecast follows a 30 percent increase in the contract’s likelihood over the past 24 hours.

Why it matters

Market participants are increasingly weighing OpenAI's valuation trajectory as the company approaches its deadline for the 975 billion dollar target. The current betting trend reflects rapid shifts in investor sentiment regarding the startup’s capital standing.

The contract reflects a 63 percent probability of OpenAI achieving a 975 billion dollar valuation, a 30 percent increase over the last 24-hour period. Final settlement depends on data from the Nasdaq Private Market or eventual IPO pricing.

The players

OpenAI

An AI research and deployment company known for developing large language models and the GPT architecture.

Polymarket

A decentralized prediction market platform where users trade shares based on the outcome of real-world events.

Nasdaq Private Market

A financial infrastructure provider that facilitates secondary trading for shares of private companies.

The details

The prediction market contract operates by aggregating real-time trader sentiment to forecast the probability of a specific financial event occurring by a set deadline. Settlement is determined by verifiable valuation data from the Nasdaq Private Market, a platform that facilitates liquidity for private company shares, or by the initial public offering pricing if a listing occurs before the contract expires.

September 30: Contract settlement deadline for the valuation target.

The Tech Race

This prediction market activity follows the standard precedent set by the Nasdaq Private Market to provide an objective basis for valuation tracking. The contract creates a public benchmark for OpenAI's progress against the capital valuations of other major generative AI labs.

This development represents a financial forecast for institutional investors rather than a change in consumer-facing services or pricing. Traders monitoring the site should note that the contract is scheduled to resolve on September 30.

The takeaway

The rapid shift in betting probabilities highlights how speculative interest in large-scale AI firms is intensifying as their valuation milestones near. Investors can watch the contract on September 30 to see if the valuation reaches the required threshold.